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🦉 A Major Historical BTC Cycle That Dictates Its Price Might Be Breaking

Bitcoin DeFi surges, but tokenization and stablecoins gain steam, XRP Army Celebrates Being on 'Right Side of History’ as SEC’s Ripple Lawsuit Ends

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Last week, we discussed a potential scenario in which Bitcoin could break down from the range it had been trading in, with our eyes on the $112K level as an area of confluence. That scenario played out, with price indeed dipping to $112K before finding support and bouncing. Since then, BTC has been grinding higher, making steady progress toward key resistance levels.

We are now approaching a significant downsloping resistance trendline drawn from all swing highs since the $123K peak, and price is currently rejecting at this level. For sustained upside momentum, Bitcoin needs to break above this trendline, then push through the golden pocket and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone. A successful breakout and flip of these levels to support would put BTC on track for new all-time highs.

While the structure looks constructive in the short term, I’m exercising some caution here. Higher timeframes, such as the 5-day and weekly charts, are showing momentum starting to roll over. This leaves the door open for the possibility of a lower high forming, followed by another leg to the downside before bullish continuation resumes. This type of pullback would align with the historically slow “dog days” of summer, when equity markets often correct or stall.

In the week ahead, the key level to watch is $120,300. If BTC can break above it, reclaim it, and flip it to support, that would be a strong signal that the market is ready to push to new highs sooner rather than later. Failure to do so could see us revisiting lower levels before the next leg up.

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CRYPTO VIDEO SPOTLIGHT - BITCOIN VS XRP  đꔦ

T’S HOOTS OF ENLIGHTENMENT

XRP LEDGERđź’ˇ

XRP is the native cryptocurrency of the XRP Ledger (XRPL), designed for fast, secure, and low-cost value transfers. It acts as a bridge currency for cross-border payments, enabling instant settlement without relying on traditional banking intermediaries. Its speed (3–5 seconds) and minimal fees make it attractive for both individuals and institutions.

RLUSD is Ripple’s U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin, issued directly on the XRPL. Each RLUSD token is pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollar, offering price stability while maintaining the XRPL’s speed and efficiency. It’s designed for everyday payments, remittances, and on-chain transactions without the volatility of typical cryptocurrencies.

The XRP Ledger is a decentralized, open-source blockchain launched in 2012. It uses a consensus protocol instead of energy-intensive mining, allowing it to process up to 1,500 transactions per second with very low fees. Beyond payments, it supports token issuance, decentralized exchange (DEX) functions, escrow, and smart contract capabilities.

These matter because together they create a powerful, energy-efficient ecosystem for global value transfer. XRP provides liquidity and speed, RLUSD offers stability for transactions, and the XRPL delivers the infrastructure. This combination enables instant, affordable, and scalable payments—positioning Ripple’s ecosystem as a strong contender in the future of global finance.

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.