🦉 Bitcoin Ends Record Month at $115K

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Bitcoin Market Technical Outlook

Since our last update, Bitcoin has been consolidating in a tight range, with price action essentially moving sideways. We're currently grinding within a defined local range, with the **Value Area High (VAH) at $119,320 and the Value Area Low (VAL) at $117,047 based on the local volume profile. The broader range structure extends from approximately $120K down to $116K.

Technical Structure

On the 8-hour timeframe, price action continues to respect a macro bull flag structure. The upper trendline of the flag originates from the all-time high at $123,000 and connects each subsequent lower high. A bullish breakout above this trend line, followed by a successful retest, would signal continuation of the macro uptrend. The measured move target for this bull flag points toward $133,000.

However, if price continues to reject from this upper boundary (currently near $118,400, we may see a move back down toward the lower trend line of the flag, which aligns precisely with major structural support between $109,000 and $112,000.  This level is significant not only because it marks the top of the previous consolidation range, but it also holds confluence with key support zones and Fibonacci levels—most notably the 0.5 Fib retracement at $110,735. 

Momentum Analysis

Momentum paints a mixed picture across timeframes:

Daily Stochastic Momentum had  freshly crossed to the upside, offering a short-term bullish signal.

However, 2-day, 3-day, 5-day, and weekly momentum are still angled downward, indicating macro pressure remains.

The key here is whether the daily momentum can push price high enough to initiate bullish crossovers on the higher timeframes. We're at an inflection point: either the daily strength builds into a multi-day reversal, or higher timeframe momentum continues to drag price lower.

In Summary

Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase within a larger bull flag. A break and retest above $118.4K would be the first step toward bullish continuation to $133K. Failure to do so likely brings us down to retest the $109K–$112K support zone,  which also marks the bottom boundary of the flag pattern. Given the confluence of trendlines, volume levels, and Fibonacci support, this area should be watched closely for signs of reversal or breakdown.

Stay patient and let the structure resolve—major moves often follow long periods of compression.

Book a free consultation at http://tacticaltradinghub.com to get started. See you on the inside!

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T’S HOOT’S OF ENLIGHTENMENT - BUYING THE DIP💡

Buying the dip in crypto means purchasing digital assets after their prices have dropped significantly—often due to market corrections, fear, or short-term volatility. For savvy investors, dips present opportunities to accumulate strong projects at discounted prices. History shows that many of the top-performing cryptocurrencies—like Bitcoin and Ethereum—have experienced multiple deep pullbacks before reaching new all-time highs.

The key is to focus on fundamentals. If the project still has strong development activity, a loyal community, and real-world utility, a dip can be a temporary setback rather than a sign of failure. Emotional investors often panic sell, driving prices even lower, but disciplined buyers use this moment to add to their positions.

Still, it’s important to have a plan. Don’t go all-in at once—use dollar-cost averaging to spread out your risk. Always invest only what you can afford to lose and avoid projects with weak fundamentals, even if they appear “cheap.” Crypto markets are notoriously volatile, but over the long term, patient and strategic dip-buyers often outperform. When others are fearful, it’s your signal to stay calm, zoom out, and focus on the bigger picture. In crypto, wealth is often built not by timing the top—but by having the courage to buy the bottom.

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