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BTC USDT 12 HOUR 🔬

Bitcoin remains confined within its established trading range, with the lower boundary, or Value Area Low (VAL), positioned around $81,250 and the upper boundary, or Value Area High (VAH), near $88,500.

On Monday, BTC rebounded precisely from the VAL and has since been moving toward the mid-to-upper range.

The upper boundary will serve as a critical resistance level, where a substantial number of market participants are likely to take profits, as this represents an overvalued price relative to the current range.

In the short term, Bitcoin’s price action presents two potential scenarios:

Bullish Breakout-

If BTC successfully breaks through the upper boundary of the range and establishes it as support, we could see a continuation toward the local 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.

A decisive push beyond this level would set the stage for a move toward the most significant resistance level at $93,000 an area that must be reclaimed for any meaningful trend reversal to take shape.  ( Yellow path in chart Below)

Range Continuation & Retest of Support-

The more probable scenario, in my view, is a rejection from the VAH or local 0.786, leading to a retracement back toward the VAL before a genuine breakout attempt occurs.

This would maintain the current range-bound structure until sufficient momentum builds for a breakout. (Blue path in chart Below)

While technicals provide a framework, external macroeconomic factors such as market reaction to Trump’s recent tariff announcements could heavily influence BTC’s direction in the coming days.

A positive market response could provide the necessary momentum to reclaim $93K and initiate a broader trend reversal.

Conversely, a strong bearish reaction may lead to a breakdown below the VAL, invalidating the range structure and triggering a move toward lower lows.

As always, there is no certainty in market outcomes, only probabilities. The key to successful trading and investing is preparation for all potential scenarios, allowing you to react objectively rather than emotionally as price action unfolds.

Book a free consultation at http://tacticaltradinghub.com to get started. See you on the inside!

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T’S HOOT’S OF ENLIGHTENMENT - FUNDAMENTAL BASED PROFITS 💡

Fundamental-based selling in cryptocurrency involves taking profits based on an asset’s underlying value, market conditions, and project developments rather than short-term price fluctuations.

This strategy helps investors lock in gains by selling when key fundamental metrics indicate overvaluation or risk.

One primary approach is to sell when a cryptocurrency reaches its intrinsic value based on adoption, network activity, and revenue-generating mechanisms like staking or transaction fees.

If the price significantly exceeds these fundamentals due to hype, it may be a signal to take profits.

Monitoring on-chain data, such as declining active addresses or reduced developer activity, can also indicate a weakening project, justifying a sell decision.

Macroeconomic factors like regulatory changes, interest rate shifts, or broader market downturns can also impact crypto prices.

If these factors suggest a cooling market, partial profit-taking can mitigate risks. Similarly, if a project fails to deliver on its roadmap or faces increasing competition, selling before a downturn can preserve capital.

A disciplined exit strategy, such as scaling out in increments or setting fundamental price targets, ensures profits are secured while maintaining exposure to potential long-term growth.

Ultimately, fundamental-based selling prevents emotional decision-making and enhances portfolio stability.

Want to learn more? Join us today… www.dailygainscrypto.com 

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